Another false alley in published baccarat strategy is that of card
counting. Card counting is usually associated with the game of blackjack, as it
can be quite an effective strategy when utilized properly in the right casino.
It would also appear to be a genuinely worthy strategy in baccarat, as it
works off of a similar shoe. The problem is of course the issue of used cards
being fed back into the shoe before very many have been removed (thus negating
any count you had made to that point). In baccarat specifically the
problems with card counting are a little different. Unlike blackjack baccarat
does not offer opportunities to alter your bet in mid-hand play. Blackjack
offers this ability in a number of specific situations, and so you can increase
your bet if your count changes during play. Using card counting in baccarat
though offers so few situations with an advantage against the house that the
overall efforts are worthless.
Baccarat can be considered a coin toss played with a lot of fanfare.
Many people let this oversimplified impression of the game lure them towards
using a martingale-based system. These styles of systems have you double your
bet each time you lose a hand, basing its logic on the fact that eventually your
choice will win, and if you had doubled your bet each hand that win will recoup
all losses from previous hands. This system is perfect and cannot be beaten in
games like baccarat or roulette. Because this is true the casinos have
issued new rules, which limit how much one can bet in one hand. Table maximums
(and minimums) as they are referred to, eliminate the threat of a martingale
system gambler completely. Say you bet 5 dollars on banker and lost, next bet
you put 10 bucks down on banker, next bet 20, ect, and you keep loosing, it
won't be very long before you double your bet right up to or over the table
maximum. In this case of course you can't bet any higher, and your system has
failed. If I only accomplish one thing with this web site, I hope it is
convincing everyone that martingale systems are absolutely horrific techniques
designed to prey on the natural thought patterns of the human brain (the bit
that thinks if a coin lands heads up nine times in a row there is a greater than
50% chance it will be tails on the tenth toss).
So if card counting, streak or pattern spotting, and systems are all useless
strategy for baccarat, what's a good one? Looking at the numbers it
becomes clear that the odds are always a little better when you bet on the
banker. Does this mean you should always bet on banker? In a technical sense I
suppose yes it does, but practically it would be the most boring use of your
time ever if you just sat there betting on banker all night. Pattern chasing is
most often some added fun to break the monotony that can come from a simple
game.
|
